Wotworks / Uncategorized
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Probability history
Stored snapshot series
Yes
No stored probability snapshots for this prediction yet. The canvas fills in as the ingestion cadence records observations.
Snapshot resolution follows the real ingestion cadence. Quiet periods can contain fewer observations. Milestone flags identify context observed around that interval, not verified single-cause explanations. Only the primary outcome has a stored probability series; per-outcome history is not retained.
Connected events
Markets with relevant structural relationships
Node size is an ordering proxy from related-market list rank (earlier = larger) — not a computed relevance or connection-strength score.
No verified related predictions for this market yet.
Alert history
This prediction only
Loading…
Resolution integrity
Prototype concept
Rule clarity, source authority, ambiguous-term flags, and challenge windows for this prediction will appear here. This is a product concept at prototype fidelity — no live resolution ledger exists yet.
Resolution sourcePolymarket (opens in new tab)
Community forecast
Prototype concept
A community forecast weighted by resolved calibration and evidence quality is a future product concept. No live community data backs this panel yet.