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Polymarket (opens in new tab)

Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?

Uncategorized · OPEN · Updated Sep 11, 04:02 AM

Ticker: 692320

Primary probability

112 days remaining

Jan 1, 04:59 AM

Volume (24h)

Movement

Freshness

Out of date

Prices

  • Yes 2.9% · Sep 8, 02:03 AM
  • No 98.4% · Sep 11, 04:02 AM

Odds movement

  • 24h ·
  • 7d · Down 3.6 pts

Movement from stored price snapshots — not live venue ticks.

Cross-venue divergence

No verified cross-venue match on this market yet. Divergence appears after the matching pipeline confirms a Polymarket–Kalshi pair.

Whale watchlist

Updated Sep 11, 04:02 AM
  • Yes5 whales on the same side (cluster signal)
  • No5 whales on the same side (cluster signal)
  • Fair-Record · Yes · rank #1 · 27.3% of tracked top holders · Pre-move signal
  • Harmful-Prevention · Yes · rank #2 · 20.7% of tracked top holders
  • Grizzled-Paste · Yes · rank #2 · 20.7% of tracked top holders
  • Buzzing-Vendor · Yes · rank #3 · 17.8% of tracked top holders · Pre-move signal
  • Cheery-Job · Yes · rank #4 · 13.4% of tracked top holders
  • Fresh-Cowboy · No · rank #1 · 38.3% of tracked top holders
  • Wooden-Prescription · No · rank #2 · 20.8% of tracked top holders · Pre-move signal
  • Wet-Archaeologist · No · rank #3 · 17.9% of tracked top holders
  • Nautical-Placement · No · rank #4 · 12.6% of tracked top holders
  • Disguised-Spider · No · rank #5 · 10.4% of tracked top holders

Pre-move flags compare first top-holder observation against stored snapshot price moves — not confirmed wallet entry times.

Monitoring context only — not trading advice. Insights are cached deterministic summaries with no live model calls on page load.