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Polymarket (opens in new tab)

Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Uncategorized · OPEN · Updated Sep 11, 02:02 AM

Ticker: 692283

Primary probability

112 days remaining

Jan 1, 04:59 AM

Volume (24h)

Movement

Freshness

Out of date

Prices

  • Yes 2.1% · Sep 7, 10:02 AM
  • No 98.0% · Sep 11, 02:02 AM

Odds movement

Insufficient stored price snapshots to compute 24h or 7d movement for this market.

Movement from stored price snapshots — not live venue ticks.

Cross-venue divergence

No verified cross-venue match on this market yet. Divergence appears after the matching pipeline confirms a Polymarket–Kalshi pair.

Whale watchlist

Updated Sep 11, 02:02 AM
  • Yes9 whales on the same side (cluster signal)
  • Top holder #1 · Yes · rank #1 · 33.9% of tracked top holders
  • Quizzical-Hire · Yes · rank #2 · 14.3% of tracked top holders
  • Obedient-Population · Yes · rank #3 · 7.5% of tracked top holders
  • Specific-Identity · Yes · rank #3 · 9.2% of tracked top holders
  • Rude-Ecology · Yes · rank #4 · 7.5% of tracked top holders
  • Grim-Garage · Yes · rank #4 · 7.6% of tracked top holders
  • Quixotic-Feed · Yes · rank #5 · 7.3% of tracked top holders
  • Straight-Hunting · Yes · rank #6 · 6.7% of tracked top holders
  • Frightening-Rainmaker · Yes · rank #7 · 6.0% of tracked top holders
  • Top holder #1 · No · rank #1 · 100.0% of tracked top holders

Pre-move flags compare first top-holder observation against stored snapshot price moves — not confirmed wallet entry times.

Monitoring context only — not trading advice. Insights are cached deterministic summaries with no live model calls on page load.