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Polymarket (opens in new tab)

Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?

Uncategorized · OPEN · Updated Oct 25, 06:01 PM

Ticker: 1106424

Primary probability

65 days remaining

Jan 1, 04:59 AM

Volume (24h)

Movement

Freshness

Out of date

Prices

  • Yes 3.5% · Oct 26, 06:02 AM
  • No 96.5% · Oct 25, 06:01 PM

Odds movement

Insufficient stored price snapshots to compute 24h or 7d movement for this market.

Movement from stored price snapshots — not live venue ticks.

Cross-venue divergence

No verified cross-venue match on this market yet. Divergence appears after the matching pipeline confirms a Polymarket–Kalshi pair.

Whale watchlist

Updated Sep 10, 12:03 PM
  • Yes — 3 whales on the same side (cluster signal)
  • No — 8 whales on the same side (cluster signal)
  • Giddy-Draft · Yes · rank #1 · 85.9% of tracked top holders
  • Straight-Hunting · Yes · rank #2 · 6.3% of tracked top holders
  • Fruitful-Heroine · Yes · rank #2 · 7.8% of tracked top holders
  • Compassionate-Kneejerk · No · rank #1 · 19.3% of tracked top holders
  • Gleaming-Orient · No · rank #1 · 24.6% of tracked top holders
  • Dull-Dollar · No · rank #2 · 16.4% of tracked top holders
  • Top holder #3 · No · rank #3 · 15.2% of tracked top holders
  • Mean-Waiter · No · rank #4 · 8.9% of tracked top holders
  • Wobbly-Chain · No · rank #5 · 6.6% of tracked top holders
  • Impartial-Expose · No · rank #6 · 4.5% of tracked top holders
  • Glossy-Cashier · No · rank #7 · 4.5% of tracked top holders

Pre-move flags compare first top-holder observation against stored snapshot price moves — not confirmed wallet entry times.

Monitoring context only — not trading advice. Insights are cached deterministic summaries with no live model calls on page load.