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Polymarket (opens in new tab)

Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?

Uncategorized · OPEN · Updated Oct 22, 02:01 PM

Ticker: 687677

Primary probability

65 days remaining

Jan 1, 04:59 AM

Volume (24h)

Movement

Freshness

Out of date

Prices

  • Yes 2.6% · Oct 26, 12:02 PM
  • No 97.4% · Oct 22, 02:01 PM

Odds movement

Insufficient stored price snapshots to compute 24h or 7d movement for this market.

Movement from stored price snapshots — not live venue ticks.

Cross-venue divergence

No verified cross-venue match on this market yet. Divergence appears after the matching pipeline confirms a Polymarket–Kalshi pair.

Whale watchlist

Updated Jul 29, 04:02 AM
  • Yes — 5 whales on the same side (cluster signal)
  • No — 3 whales on the same side (cluster signal)
  • Short-Term-Chopsticks · Yes · rank #1 · 52.2% of tracked top holders
  • Snarling-Veil · Yes · rank #2 · 14.8% of tracked top holders
  • Straight-Hunting · Yes · rank #3 · 11.4% of tracked top holders
  • Top holder #4 · Yes · rank #4 · 11.2% of tracked top holders
  • Specific-Identity · Yes · rank #5 · 10.4% of tracked top holders
  • Top holder #1 · No · rank #1 · 65.1% of tracked top holders
  • Ornery-Fedelini · No · rank #2 · 22.5% of tracked top holders
  • Flat-Badger · No · rank #3 · 12.4% of tracked top holders

Pre-move flags compare first top-holder observation against stored snapshot price moves — not confirmed wallet entry times.

Monitoring context only — not trading advice. Insights are cached deterministic summaries with no live model calls on page load.