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Polymarket (opens in new tab)

Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny before 2027?

Uncategorized · OPEN · Updated Oct 26, 02:01 PM

Ticker: 687682

Primary probability

65 days remaining

Jan 1, 04:59 AM

Volume (24h)

Movement

Freshness

Out of date

Prices

  • Yes 7.1% · Oct 27, 04:03 AM
  • No 92.4% · Oct 26, 02:01 PM

Odds movement

Insufficient stored price snapshots to compute 24h or 7d movement for this market.

Movement from stored price snapshots — not live venue ticks.

Cross-venue divergence

No verified cross-venue match on this market yet. Divergence appears after the matching pipeline confirms a Polymarket–Kalshi pair.

Whale watchlist

Updated Aug 27, 12:03 PM
  • Yes — 7 whales on the same side (cluster signal)
  • No — 3 whales on the same side (cluster signal)
  • Pointed-Wilderness · Yes · rank #1 · 39.1% of tracked top holders · Pre-move signal
  • Belated-Glue · Yes · rank #2 · 19.6% of tracked top holders
  • Sharp-Landform · Yes · rank #2 · 3.1% of tracked top holders
  • Essential-Diarist · Yes · rank #3 · 11.1% of tracked top holders
  • Evil-Row · Yes · rank #4 · 9.8% of tracked top holders · Pre-move signal
  • Discrete-Leptocephalus-Flipflops · Yes · rank #4 · 9.8% of tracked top holders
  • Juvenile-Hypothesis · Yes · rank #5 · 7.5% of tracked top holders
  • Dear-Acoustics · No · rank #1 · 88.0% of tracked top holders
  • Tall-Litigation-Shutdown · No · rank #2 · 6.8% of tracked top holders
  • Trustworthy-Crayon · No · rank #2 · 5.2% of tracked top holders

Pre-move flags compare first top-holder observation against stored snapshot price moves — not confirmed wallet entry times.

Monitoring context only — not trading advice. Insights are cached deterministic summaries with no live model calls on page load.