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Polymarket (opens in new tab)

Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez before 2027?

Uncategorized · OPEN · Updated Oct 26, 02:01 PM

Ticker: 687684

Primary probability

65 days remaining

Jan 1, 04:59 AM

Volume (24h)

Movement

Freshness

Out of date

Prices

  • Yes 5.3% · Oct 24, 12:02 PM
  • No 95.3% · Oct 26, 02:01 PM

Odds movement

  • 24h · —
  • 7d · Up 1.8 pts

Movement from stored price snapshots — not live venue ticks.

Cross-venue divergence

No verified cross-venue match on this market yet. Divergence appears after the matching pipeline confirms a Polymarket–Kalshi pair.

Whale watchlist

Updated Sep 8, 06:02 PM
  • Yes — 6 whales on the same side (cluster signal)
  • No — 6 whales on the same side (cluster signal)
  • Grim-Garage · Yes · rank #1 · 31.1% of tracked top holders · Pre-move signal
  • Belated-Glue · Yes · rank #2 · 30.9% of tracked top holders
  • Squiggly-Waiting · Yes · rank #3 · 11.3% of tracked top holders
  • Juvenile-Hypothesis · Yes · rank #3 · 10.1% of tracked top holders · Pre-move signal
  • Mortified-Wetland · Yes · rank #4 · 9.9% of tracked top holders
  • Straight-Wrinkle · Yes · rank #5 · 6.7% of tracked top holders
  • Agitated-Mobster · No · rank #1 · 34.5% of tracked top holders · Pre-move signal
  • Untried-Budget · No · rank #2 · 22.8% of tracked top holders
  • Another-Comb · No · rank #3 · 12.6% of tracked top holders
  • Measly-Gelatin · No · rank #4 · 12.4% of tracked top holders
  • Tense-Fort · No · rank #5 · 10.4% of tracked top holders
  • Nervous-Formula · No · rank #6 · 7.3% of tracked top holders

Pre-move flags compare first top-holder observation against stored snapshot price moves — not confirmed wallet entry times.

Monitoring context only — not trading advice. Insights are cached deterministic summaries with no live model calls on page load.