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Polymarket (opens in new tab)

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Uncategorized · OPEN · Updated Sep 11, 02:02 AM

Ticker: 692259

Primary probability

112 days remaining

Jan 1, 04:59 AM

Volume (24h)

Movement

Freshness

Out of date

Prices

  • Yes 13.0% · Sep 10, 10:02 AM
  • No 87.0% · Sep 11, 02:02 AM

Odds movement

Insufficient stored price snapshots to compute 24h or 7d movement for this market.

Movement from stored price snapshots — not live venue ticks.

Cross-venue divergence

No verified cross-venue match on this market yet. Divergence appears after the matching pipeline confirms a Polymarket–Kalshi pair.

Whale watchlist

Updated Sep 9, 08:03 AM
  • Yes4 whales on the same side (cluster signal)
  • No4 whales on the same side (cluster signal)
  • Ample-Instance · Yes · rank #1 · 68.0% of tracked top holders
  • Subdued-Revenant · Yes · rank #2 · 7.8% of tracked top holders
  • Sweltering-Sage · Yes · rank #2 · 17.0% of tracked top holders
  • Evergreen-Grill · Yes · rank #3 · 7.2% of tracked top holders
  • Solid-Porcelain · No · rank #1 · 36.7% of tracked top holders
  • Nautical-Placement · No · rank #2 · 29.1% of tracked top holders
  • Fresh-Cowboy · No · rank #3 · 22.1% of tracked top holders
  • Top holder #4 · No · rank #4 · 12.1% of tracked top holders

Pre-move flags compare first top-holder observation against stored snapshot price moves — not confirmed wallet entry times.

Monitoring context only — not trading advice. Insights are cached deterministic summaries with no live model calls on page load.